A New Regime Comes Into Focus November Recap and December Outlook The transition to a new...
Market Commentary
Read the latest market insights by the HUB Investment Research Team.
November Market Commentary: A Historic Election Removes Some Uncertainty
A Historic Election Removes Some Uncertainty October Recap and November Outlook An election season with several twists and turns came to a clear end with the decisive reelection of President Donald Trump. The received wisdom is that the financial markets hate...
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October Market Commentary A Volatile Start to the End of the Year?
A Volatile Start to the End of the Year? September Recap and October Outlook September equity markets ended the month in positive territory, but with volatility increased. The VIX, the markets “fear index” closed higher than last month, at 16.73, up from 15.00....
September Market Commentary The Finish Line or the Starting Gate?
The Finish Line or the Starting Gate? August Recap and September Outlook As summer ends and September continues, attention is focused on the long-anticipated change in the Fed’s monetary policy, from holding rates steady to returning rates to lower levels. July and...
August Market Commentary Too Late, Again?
August Market Commentary Too Late, Again? July Recap and August Outlook After weeks of Olympic-themed press reports about the Fed “sticking the (soft) landing” and safely guiding the economy to a place where inflation is coming down and growth is holding off...
July Market Commentary A Disinflationary Trend Re-emerges
June Recap and July Outlook At the FOMC meeting in mid-June, the story was the drop in expectations for multiple rate cuts in 2024 to potentially only one rate cut later in the year. However, positive data around inflation and labor markets appears to have...
June Market Commentary A Fragile Balance at the Mid-Point of the Year
May Recap and June Outlook May saw a return to more confidence in the economy and the markets. The Fed met early in the month, and Chairman Powell managed to curb market pessimism by stating that it was unlikely that the Fed’s next move would be a rate hike. The...
May Market Commentary: A New POV Takes Hold
April Recap and May Outlook April had it all, and most of it was not so great. Inflation is proving sticky again, which forced the market and the Fed to reassess the timing of interest rate cuts. Conflicts intensified in Ukraine and the Middle East, and in the U.S.,...
April Market Commentary: Navigating Rate Cut Anticipation and Economic Signals
March Recap and April Outlook Among the more interesting bits of Jerome Powell’s testimony to Congress last year was his admission that he’s been a Grateful Dead fan for 50 years. In his comments at the press conference after the March FOMC meeting, he affirmed that...
March Market Commentary Perspective on the Economy: Telescope, Microscope, or Kaleidoscope?
February Recap and March Outlook Depending on your focus, the story the recent economic data is telling may be different. But one point of view has been remarkably consistent this year: the market does not seem to care about any of it. February saw the S&P 500’s...
February Market Commentary Will A Booming Economy Stay Powell’s Hand?
January Recap and February Outlook As goes January, so goes the year. That old stock market canard has a double-edged meaning this year, as the stock market as measured by the S&P came in strongly positive. But the path to getting there included dashed...
January Market Commentary Is Rate Relief In Sight?
The drama around the timing of the Federal Reserve’s first cuts to the key short-term interest rate continued in last few weeks of the old year and into the first week of the new year. Two months of slowing labor market data, coupled with a change to the wording in...