August Market Commentary Too Late, Again? July Recap and August Outlook After weeks of...
Market Commentary
Read the latest market insights by the HUB Investment Research Team.
July Market Commentary A Disinflationary Trend Re-emerges
June Recap and July Outlook At the FOMC meeting in mid-June, the story was the drop in expectations for multiple rate cuts in 2024 to potentially only one rate cut later in the year. However, positive data around inflation and labor markets appears to have...
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June Market Commentary A Fragile Balance at the Mid-Point of the Year
May Recap and June Outlook May saw a return to more confidence in the economy and the markets. The Fed met early in the month, and Chairman Powell managed to curb market pessimism by stating that it was unlikely that the Fed’s next move would be a rate hike. The...
May Market Commentary: A New POV Takes Hold
April Recap and May Outlook April had it all, and most of it was not so great. Inflation is proving sticky again, which forced the market and the Fed to reassess the timing of interest rate cuts. Conflicts intensified in Ukraine and the Middle East, and in the U.S.,...
April Market Commentary: Navigating Rate Cut Anticipation and Economic Signals
March Recap and April Outlook Among the more interesting bits of Jerome Powell’s testimony to Congress last year was his admission that he’s been a Grateful Dead fan for 50 years. In his comments at the press conference after the March FOMC meeting, he affirmed that...
March Market Commentary Perspective on the Economy: Telescope, Microscope, or Kaleidoscope?
February Recap and March Outlook Depending on your focus, the story the recent economic data is telling may be different. But one point of view has been remarkably consistent this year: the market does not seem to care about any of it. February saw the S&P 500’s...
February Market Commentary Will A Booming Economy Stay Powell’s Hand?
January Recap and February Outlook As goes January, so goes the year. That old stock market canard has a double-edged meaning this year, as the stock market as measured by the S&P came in strongly positive. But the path to getting there included dashed...
January Market Commentary Is Rate Relief In Sight?
The drama around the timing of the Federal Reserve’s first cuts to the key short-term interest rate continued in last few weeks of the old year and into the first week of the new year. Two months of slowing labor market data, coupled with a change to the wording in...
December Market Commentary: Rates: Lower and Sooner?
November Recap and December Outlook After a year in which Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell managed to hold everyone’s attention – again – here we are waiting for the outcome of the last FOMC meeting of the year. A few weeks ago, with the narrative of rates being...
November Market Commentary: Powell on Rate Cuts: Nope.
October Recap and November Outlook The Federal Reserve's November meeting went as the market expected: no change in rates. What wasn't expected was the October and early November rollercoaster of bond yields. And by rollercoaster, think Kingda Ka. The ten-year U.S....
October Market Commentary: A New Era for the Economy Creates Uncertainty
September Recap and October Outlook The outcome of the Fed's meeting in September was to hold rates at the current level. It has been described as a "hawkish pause," and the Fed was clear in post-meeting remarks and statements that one more increase is still possible...
September Market Commentary – A Raft of Reassuring Data – or Not?
August Recap and September Outlook For most of the summer, increasingly positive data releases fed into the market’s upbeat view of the economy. This seemed to contradict the consistent messaging from the Federal Reserve that it isn’t done raising rates and inflation...